Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 8.934190 10.026768 11.160504 12.421589 13.781890 15.201873 16.793032
2024-10-06 7.583700 9.190230 10.945731 12.993195 15.302191 17.812511 20.734763
2024-10-13 6.698194 8.592403 10.741570 13.333186 16.345922 19.710930 23.725961
2024-10-20 5.723042 7.746283 10.123415 13.077717 16.605397 20.638584 25.552708
2024-10-27 4.800531 6.853034 9.348246 12.539767 16.447219 21.011044 26.677558
2024-11-03 4.370675 6.520969 9.208997 12.727122 17.119811 22.335694 28.905486
2024-11-10 4.007980 6.235340 9.093371 12.913869 17.769499 23.620534 31.084301
2024-11-17 3.560475 5.793181 8.738360 12.762726 17.971157 24.341274 32.570722
2024-11-24 3.241574 5.497334 8.548902 12.801443 18.394078 25.323302 34.373431
2024-12-01 2.930847 5.184465 8.311450 12.754649 18.690052 26.136444 35.964171
2024-12-08 2.666541 4.915516 8.113477 12.742251 19.016808 26.980486 37.592405
2024-12-15 2.633250 4.990412 8.397253 13.388452 20.218903 28.953015 40.663243
2024-12-22 2.417732 4.771239 8.253957 13.445378 20.645960 29.950197 42.532055
2024-12-29 2.377160 4.825988 8.509462 14.065506 21.842276 31.961923 45.724878
2025-01-05 2.270346 4.763000 8.583436 14.424039 22.683288 33.515589 48.341750
2025-01-12 2.015351 4.430885 8.232448 14.153793 22.646000 33.903856 49.445785
2025-01-19 1.717916 3.995960 7.695388 13.584212 22.167362 33.685104 49.740871
2025-01-26 1.616123 3.898677 7.680320 13.782625 22.766472 34.912396 51.944416
2025-02-02 1.522135 3.807076 7.667719 13.980346 23.363681 36.140540 54.158332
2025-02-09 1.366746 3.584516 7.428267 13.820324 23.438153 36.652254 55.418025
2025-02-16 1.261492 3.448729 7.323827 13.861319 23.799412 37.556263 57.207262
2025-02-23 1.149512 3.287897 7.167023 13.811772 24.022263 38.267025 58.738577
2025-03-02 1.052772 3.148275 7.037914 13.798644 24.294038 39.044451 60.363374